On the 13th, the 30-year treasury bond futures rose by 0.60%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the main contract 30-year treasury bond futures closed at 2503, up or down by +0.60%, with a turnover of 71,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 3,777 lots. The total number of 30-year treasury bond futures contracts was 82,700 lots, an increase of 4,416 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 78,000 lots, a decrease of 1,313 lots from the previous day. The top 20 seats in the contract held 85,000 short positions, a decrease of 1,049 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)Zaks, managing director of the European Central Bank: If necessary, the interest rate can be greatly reduced. zaks, managing director of the European Central Bank, said that if economic development requires it, the interest rate cut may be increased. Although zaks thinks that the gradual approach is appropriate, he warns that the impact of geopolitics and war may bring "new impetus" to inflation. Kazakhstan said in a blog post on Friday: "If necessary, this range can be greater than 0.25%." "The current method-analysis/decision based on data and each meeting-is very suitable for this situation." Zaks also said that the future trend of interest rates is also very clear, that is, downward. The neutral interest rate is closer to 2% than 3%, so it is still necessary to cut interest rates sharply.The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.
20% of the wildfires in California, which have burned more than 1,600 hectares, have been initially controlled. On December 12, local time, it was learned that 20% of the wildfires in Malibu, a coastal city in Los Angeles County, southern California, have been initially controlled, and local officials lifted some mandatory evacuation orders on the same day and allowed a certain number of people to return home. The wildfire has burned about 1,664 hectares of land, causing about 6,300 people to evacuate and about 22,000 people to be affected by the fire. Local officials said that wildfires also destroyed four houses, and another six houses were damaged. The California Fire Department said that nearly 2,000 firefighters are protecting buildings in the fire area and strengthening fire boundary control. (CCTV News)According to the local government, Russia attacked the energy facilities in the Lviv region in western Ukraine.Astana Airlines resumed the route from Urumqi to Astana. On December 13th, according to Astana Airlines, Astana Airlines resumed the Urumqi-Astana flight from December 1st, with 2 flights per week. The resumed KC flight KC287 departs from Astana (NQZ) at 19: 30 every Tuesday and Saturday and arrives in Urumqi (URC) at 1: 00 the next day; KC288 departs from Urumchi (URC) at 2 o'clock every Wednesday and Sunday and arrives in Astana (NQZ) at 1: 45, all of which are local time. In addition, Astana Airlines also operates regular flights from Urumqi to Almaty, four times a week.
Yingli shares: Yingli shares increased capital by 80 million yuan to its holding subsidiary. Yingli shares announced that the company and Shanghai Moqin Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. increased capital to Nanchang Yingli Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd., with a total capital increase of 80 million yuan, of which Yingli shares increased capital by 67 million yuan in cash and Shanghai Moqin increased capital by 13 million yuan in cash. After this capital increase, the registered capital of Nanchang Yingli will increase from 20 million yuan to 100 million yuan. After the capital increase is completed, Yingli shares hold 80% of the shares of Nanchang Yingli and Shanghai Moqin holds 20% of the shares. This capital increase does not constitute a connected transaction and does not need to be submitted to the company's shareholders' meeting for consideration.Dutch International: Britain's economic growth momentum has further slowed down, but the budget boost is coming. Dutch International Bank said that Britain's GDP fell again in October, although this may exaggerate the degree of recent economic slowdown. According to the bank's forecast of Britain's annual GDP in 2025, the British economy will surpass most western European countries next year. This may tell more about the economic health of other parts of continental Europe, but it also reflects the impact of the recent fiscal stimulus measures in Britain to a great extent. Compared with the budget of the last Conservative government, public expenditure has increased by about 60 billion pounds, accounting for more than 2% of GDP. Most of the increased expenditure will flow to government departments in the form of daily funds, and most of it will eventually appear in the form of wages. Therefore, the transmission of finance to broader economic growth may be quite high.Shenzhen Stock Exchange: The Shenzhen Stock Exchange, together with the Financial Office of Henan Provincial Party Committee, Henan Securities Regulatory Bureau and Zhengzhou Municipal Party Committee and Municipal Government, jointly held an industrial exchange meeting on "Shenzhen M&A Revitalizing Quality". This activity focused on the advantageous industries of high-end equipment manufacturing in Henan Province, discussed in depth the development characteristics of the industry and the main points of M&A investment, built an exchange platform, conveyed the concept of supervision, supported the integration of upstream and downstream of the industrial chain, strictly prevented insider trading in M&A and reorganization, and helped Henan develop new quality productivity according to local conditions. Next, Shenzhen Stock Exchange will continue to implement the requirements of "Six Articles on M&A" in accordance with the unified deployment of China Securities Regulatory Commission, adhere to the direction of marketization, adhere to the major strategy of serving the country, give full play to the role of the capital market as the main channel in enterprise M&A and reorganization, take various measures to support listed companies to standardize M&A and reorganization, promote the landing of high-quality cases, strengthen exchanges with market players, and strive to create a healthy and orderly market ecology.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide